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Preview for Cayman Islands Classic

Just a reminder that BC is heading down to the Caymans this weekend for three games in as many days (Sunday - Tuesday). I think they've got a great chance picking up a couple of wins, given the (lack of) strength of the field. Here's the lineup:

BracketTeamConferenceRecordKenpom Rankingsignature wins this season
ABoise StMountain West3-136Clemson, U. San Fran.
AS.Dakota St.Summit3-1189McNeese
ADuquesneA-100-4225none
AHamptonCAA2-3308UMBC only D.I win
BHigh PointBig South5-0109UAB
BBCACC3-1129Temple
BMissouri StateMissouri Valley3-1176Tulsa
BOld DominionSun Belt2-3311Maryland E-S only D.I win

Day 1 games, Nov. 24:
Hampton vs. Boise St 11am
South Dakota St vs Duquesne 1:30pm
Missouri State vs. High Point 5pm
OD vs. BC 7:30 pm

Full bracket: here

Games streaming on FloCollege. Anyone have any experience with that?
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Dudley

My buddy and I met Jared Dudley at the alumni association tailgate at the SMU game. Dudley is an assistant for the Mavs so he was local. Couldn’t have been nicer. Took photos with dozens of fans and talked to everyone who approached him. I asked him when he was going to coach BC, and he said “in four years.” Said he needs to learn more about coaching but would love to do it down the road. I asked him about Earl and he said he likes him but that he needs better recruiters on his staff. He talked about how when he was in high school how special Ed Cooley made him feel and made him want to sign when he knew almost nothing about BC. Somehow we got on the topic of Gene DeFilippo and I volunteered that he was an asshole, to which Dudley replied “you’re not wrong.”

Game 4: Loyola (MD) at BC 11/19/24

Time: 6pm

TV: ACCNX/ESPN+

Line: BC -13.5

Kenpom: BC 76-64

What I am looking for: A reasonable rotation where Earl has predictable sub patterns. 39 lineup combos through three games without any walk-ons playing is not giving these guys a chance to get into any rhythm.

Will bshay21 bet this?: Of course.

Bet: BC to win by 10-13 points. 1/2 unit +370. BC to win by 7-9 1/2 unit +700

Year Long BC basketball betting record: (0-2). - 2 units. For tracking purposes, I forgot to add the BC -1.5 I added last week which salvaged a split.
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Why?: I think BC wins by I could see us up by 18 and Loyola squeezing out the cover late. Or BC starting slow and pulling away.

8th Annual Randolph and Mortimer Duke Prediction Thread

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First of all:

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Hardest team to handicap, even with my optimism, since I watched Chris Herren break his wrist in person against Cal State Nobody. At the same time, we know how Major League ended. Spoiler for a 1989 movie: They won the division. So, yeah, I will use this thread as an exercise to talk myself into a fun year. As always. I present you seven things. If five or six come to pass, we will have meaningful late February/early March games that could make or break our chances to make the tournament.

1. There are two Earls. One very likeable guy that you'd like to be here for a decade plus. A guy who seemingly can get reasonably rated guys to come to BC (not easy in 2024), develop buy in, find bigs that are undervalued elsewhere and make them into impact guys (QP, Glock). Then there is get your head out of your ass Earl. Our eyes could always see when lineups didn't work. Where we would leak oil in game. Now the data proves it. He can see moments after the game what guys should play but not play at the same time. What guys should be 10-15 minute guys not 25 mpg guys. I don't want to discount letting a team work out kinks. I don't see them in practice. But you can't hand over 3-5 games every year just by playing bad lineups. BC lost in OT to UVA in the ACCs. Mighty put up a Club Trillion (4 minutes followed by 15 zeroes in the box score). Those are reserved for walk ons! Did QP need a breather? Yes. Was that the way? No. So, #1 will be that Earl needs to get materially better at squeezing all of the juice out of the fruit.
2. Jayden Hastings. My personal favorite. I won't bore anyone again with my valueless in person pregame scouting of Molinari working out the bigs. But I was shocked by how big and skilled he looked vs what we were led to believe. He needs to be a league average big or better. A lot to ask but Glock was. QP certainly was. If the staff gets any benefit of the doubt, it is here.
3. Dion Brown needs to be whoever this guy thinks he is:
Login to view embedded media 4. Donald Hand plays 25+ minutes per game. That means he is playing like the three level scorer and shooter we were promised. Got to give a guy a year to really get back from an in season ACL. He was 38% from three in conference last year. He definitely has the stroke.
5. We need to get the Chad Venning, nationally ranked in offensive rebound rate, block rate, and fouls drawn rate. Not the Chad Venning who is a foul and TO machine. Nothing wrong with a good old fashioned big that doesn't need to float out to 23 feet. This guy played played prep ball with James Bouknight. It's good to be an older big. Also hard to makeover bad habits. But, again, they have done some nice work with bigs.
6. Toews/Payne/Petronio/Kelley have to form a Voltron of bench guard that Earl can mix and match (see #1, though) for 30-35 minutes per game. Shooting, defense, energy. Based on the Toews reports, maybe it's 20 minutes of him and 10 of Kelley? Maybe Payne can actually play? However it unfolds, can't give away points from bad guard subs.
7. Roger MacFarlane:
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Shot 38% from three last year. Also took 400 total shots from 2pt and 3pt. If he's content to stretch the floor and maybe be a guy like CHJ that can create his own shot and bail us out of end of shot clock possessions, that's a big win. If he struggles going from the guy to a piece of the puzzle, that's the downside of the portal.


Record: 18-13
Tiebreaker #1. ACC Record: 9-11
Tiebreaker #2. PPG Leader: Dion Brown
Tiebreaker #3. How many: 15.6
Tiebreaker #4. Will we win both long time rivalry games in the Bay Area (@ Stanford, @ Cal): Yes.
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Summit on College Athletics

Hoping to learn whether or not BC will attend and participate in the Summit on College Athletics called by Linda Livingstone, president of Baylor University and Chairperson of the Big 12 Board of Directors. Apparently, "...some ACC schools will attend and participate...". It'd be highly interesting to learn of BC's viewpoint on the Summit which will feature proposals for reform of college athletics and alternatives to the current P4 conference structure.

*******Official 2024 NFL Season Thread *********

Would love to hear any futures tickets people are holding.

Most Losses Chicago Bears 75/1
Most Wins LA Rams 40/1 (love this one).
Chargers to win SB 30/1
Pats alt win totals over

And then, I have been looking to try this for a few years, 11 buddies and I each pitched in $200. Took the top 12 RB and 12 WR on a fantasy list and bet the under on rushing yards, rushing TDs for RBs and under receiving yards and receiving TDs for WRs. Made a spreadsheet of best # and price across the books and have made 45 bets of $50/each. Go look at your fantasy drafts from the last ten years and look at the busts in the first two rounds due to injury, underperformance, a couple nagging injuries, whatever. Last year, Nick Chubb? Gone week 2. Justin Jefferson crushing it through week 10 looking to cruise the over bets? Nope. Ekeler just stunk. Dameon Pierce just stunk. Josh Jacobs hurt. Bijan's coach doesn't know how great he is. 24-21 over the 45 props gets you into profit. Anyway, we'll see how it goes. Maybe roll it into baseball props since those seem pretty volatile as well.

Football is back!
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