BC not dead yet in the ACC bowl picture with a 3-0 finish. In fact, a 5-7 team can't totally be ruled out.
If we win out, unlikely as the odds are, we would be on the NCAA waiting list to fill in for a bowl spot if not enough teams finish 6-6 (with at least 5 FBS wins) or higher.
As of now, 80 bowl spots available, only 76 teams are .500 or better.
if 80 teams do not finish .500 or better, a 6-6 BC team could get a bowl bid through an NCAA rule that allows bowl bids for teams with a 6-6 record and 2 wins over FCS teams.
Finishing on a 3 game win streak with a win over ND could help us or hurt us.
It hurts us if the ND win knocks them out of an at-large BCS berth and into the ACC bowl picture below.
Then the ACC no longer has an open bowl to give us.
It helps us as we would be a team on a roll the last month.
My guess at ACC bowl picture:
The 7 teams below will likely fill the first 6 ACC bowls (one being an at-large or higher BCS bowl) plus an additional at-large BCS bowl.
ND will also likely fill an at-large BCS berth, keeping them out of the ACC bowl picture below.
1. Clemson (8-0) At-large BCS bowl, or national championship spot.
2. FSU (7-1) At-large BCS bowl, or national championship spot.
3. NC (7-1) Russell Athletic
4. Pittsburgh (6-2) Taxslayer/Music City
5. Duke (6-2) Belk
6. NCSt (5-3) Sun
7. Miami (5-3) Pinstripe
This leaves 3 bowls (Military, Independence and Quick Lane Detroit) for the 7 teams remaining.
Of these teams, the most likely to finish 6-6 or better:
8. Louisville 4-4 (Syr, UVA, @Pitt, @ Kentucky)
9. VT 4-5 (@GT, UNC, @UVA)
10. BC 3-6 (NCst, ND, Syr)
Teams that likely will finish 5-7 or worse:
11. VA 3-5 (@Mia, @Lou, Duke, VT)
12. Syracuse 3-5 (@Lou, Clem, @NCst, BC)
13. GT 3-6 (VT, @Mia, UGA)
14. WF 3-6 (@ND, @Clem, Duke)
Notes:
It's possible VT also does not qualify, leaving one ACC bowl spot open. This would be useful if ND does not get picked for a BCS at-large berth and takes one of the above ACC bowls.
If we win out, unlikely as the odds are, we would be on the NCAA waiting list to fill in for a bowl spot if not enough teams finish 6-6 (with at least 5 FBS wins) or higher.
As of now, 80 bowl spots available, only 76 teams are .500 or better.
if 80 teams do not finish .500 or better, a 6-6 BC team could get a bowl bid through an NCAA rule that allows bowl bids for teams with a 6-6 record and 2 wins over FCS teams.
Finishing on a 3 game win streak with a win over ND could help us or hurt us.
It hurts us if the ND win knocks them out of an at-large BCS berth and into the ACC bowl picture below.
Then the ACC no longer has an open bowl to give us.
It helps us as we would be a team on a roll the last month.
My guess at ACC bowl picture:
The 7 teams below will likely fill the first 6 ACC bowls (one being an at-large or higher BCS bowl) plus an additional at-large BCS bowl.
ND will also likely fill an at-large BCS berth, keeping them out of the ACC bowl picture below.
1. Clemson (8-0) At-large BCS bowl, or national championship spot.
2. FSU (7-1) At-large BCS bowl, or national championship spot.
3. NC (7-1) Russell Athletic
4. Pittsburgh (6-2) Taxslayer/Music City
5. Duke (6-2) Belk
6. NCSt (5-3) Sun
7. Miami (5-3) Pinstripe
This leaves 3 bowls (Military, Independence and Quick Lane Detroit) for the 7 teams remaining.
Of these teams, the most likely to finish 6-6 or better:
8. Louisville 4-4 (Syr, UVA, @Pitt, @ Kentucky)
9. VT 4-5 (@GT, UNC, @UVA)
10. BC 3-6 (NCst, ND, Syr)
Teams that likely will finish 5-7 or worse:
11. VA 3-5 (@Mia, @Lou, Duke, VT)
12. Syracuse 3-5 (@Lou, Clem, @NCst, BC)
13. GT 3-6 (VT, @Mia, UGA)
14. WF 3-6 (@ND, @Clem, Duke)
Notes:
It's possible VT also does not qualify, leaving one ACC bowl spot open. This would be useful if ND does not get picked for a BCS at-large berth and takes one of the above ACC bowls.
