Will fine tune the rooting guide as we get into March with specific games but basically what you want is a big fall off in bubble team cases post conference tournaments.
First things first, is there a path? I don't know. I don't follow it on a year to year basis. A couple things I do know. 1. Regular season conference champs that don't make the NCAAT get an NIT auto-bid. So, that decreases the amount of at large bids that used to go to high majors. 2. You know longer need to have a .500 record to get in.
I don't know if they consider injury history or end of season trajectory, which would certainly help BC if they ended up with any type of case.
List of the worst NIT high major bids (by kp) the last few years.
2022- Vanderbilt (64) 19-17 (7-11 SEC)
2021- NC State (71) 13-10 (9-8 ACC). Just 16 teams invited this year.
2020-N/A
2019- Georgetown (100) 19-12 (9-9 BE). PC (83) made it this year at 17-14 (7-11)
2018 -Washington (98) 20-11 (10-8 P12). Stanford (89) made it at 17-14 (11-7)
2017-Georgia Tech (77) 17-14 (8-10 ACC)
Those are the years since the format changes.
What is the most reasonable best case scenario for BC? I think asking for anything more than 5-3 the last eight games plus 2-1 like last year in the ACCT is pushing it. That's 16-15 (10-10) and then 18-16 and probably right around 100 (kp). I don't think that's enough unless A. they account for context or B. Most small and mid major regular season champs make the dance.
First things first, is there a path? I don't know. I don't follow it on a year to year basis. A couple things I do know. 1. Regular season conference champs that don't make the NCAAT get an NIT auto-bid. So, that decreases the amount of at large bids that used to go to high majors. 2. You know longer need to have a .500 record to get in.
I don't know if they consider injury history or end of season trajectory, which would certainly help BC if they ended up with any type of case.
List of the worst NIT high major bids (by kp) the last few years.
2022- Vanderbilt (64) 19-17 (7-11 SEC)
2021- NC State (71) 13-10 (9-8 ACC). Just 16 teams invited this year.
2020-N/A
2019- Georgetown (100) 19-12 (9-9 BE). PC (83) made it this year at 17-14 (7-11)
2018 -Washington (98) 20-11 (10-8 P12). Stanford (89) made it at 17-14 (11-7)
2017-Georgia Tech (77) 17-14 (8-10 ACC)
Those are the years since the format changes.
What is the most reasonable best case scenario for BC? I think asking for anything more than 5-3 the last eight games plus 2-1 like last year in the ACCT is pushing it. That's 16-15 (10-10) and then 18-16 and probably right around 100 (kp). I don't think that's enough unless A. they account for context or B. Most small and mid major regular season champs make the dance.
