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The Case Against Daz And The Numbers

D Able

All Region
May 25, 2003
24,016
9,494
113
From BCI....


  • The overall record to date - 19 wins 24 losses .442
    • Compare this to other Eagle "failures" who were not re-elected, Ed Chlebek (12-21 .364), Dan Henning (16-19-1 .458) and Frank Spaziani (20-19 .513)
  • Power Five record - 9 wins 23 losses .281
    • This President has run up more than half his wins over teams who are not his direct league competition.
  • Record vs the Top 25 - 1 win 8 losses .111
    • That USC win in 2014 is it
  • Boston College has now lost its last 13 straight Power Five games
    • This is the longest losing streak since a run from 1988-90 where the Eagle lost 14 in a row
  • Their 11 game ACC losing streak is the longest that BC has ever endured since joining a conference in 1991 (Big East)
    • The previous worst was a six game skid between 2012-13 under Frank Spaziani
    • The Eagles however are nowhere near the ACC record of 28 in a row held by Virginia
  • The 56-10 loss to Clemson marked the worst Alumni Stadium home loss ever
    • It is tied with two games for margin of defeat in all home games with 46-0 losses to Oklahoma at Braves Field in 1949 and 46-0 in 1945 to Holy Cross at Fenway Park.
    • It was the second worst home loss of all time missing by one a 47-0 drubbing inflicted by Georgetown in 1927
  • The Clemson loss marked the first time since 1995 under Dan Henning that the Eagles have given up 49 or more points in a game twice in a season.
  • It also marked the first time in program history that the Eagles have lost two games by 46 points on more in the same season
  • In previous articles we have noted the futility of the Eagle offense.
    • BC has been shut out just nine times in the past 47 seasons, however three of those nine have been in the past 16 games.
  • As of this moment, using The Bookmetrics, BC will be favored in two of their remaining games, both by under a touchdown and significant underdogs in the other four, at least broaching the question of whether the Eagles could wind up 3-9 or 4-8 or simply sub .500 missing a bowl again.
    • Syracuse (BC by 5.6), Louisville (UL by 28.7), NC State (NCSU by 21.4), Florida State (FSU by 35.2), Connecticut (BC by 2.2), Wake Forest (Wake by 13.1).
These bring us to the program building aspects of being a Head Coach. Here too, Addazio is making a strong case against re-election.



  • Recruiting - According to 24/7 sports, under Addazio, the Eagles have finished last in the ACC three out of four years and currently have the last rated class in the ACC for 2017. We can pivot on this all we want and call the ratings subjective and rigged and at times they are, but it is hard to argue that the teams who do well in this area tend to be the teams who win conference titles and compete for national championships. It is very hard to make bricks without straw, without some devine level of intervention. The issues at QB over the past three seasons, needing to rely on two 5th year transfers as well as the complete failure at the position last year and the heir apparent in Darius Wade not being able to get on the field as a third year player, speak volumes.
    • 2013 - 87th nationally, 14th and last ACC
    • 2014 - 52nd nationally, 11th ACC
    • 2015 - 62nd nationally, 14th and last ACC
    • 2016 - 79th nationally, 14th and last ACC
    • 2017 - currently 55th nationally, 14th and last ACC
  • Attendance. In the Buffalo game, Guess The Attendance article, it was noted that BC had only drawn a crowd of under 30,000 ten times since the stadium was expanded to 44,500 from 32,000 in 1994.
    • Seven of those ten games have come under Addazio's watch since 2014.
    • The Clemson game marked the first announced sell out of this regime, but those of you who were there and can see from the picture in this article, that number was slightly inflated (the real attendance was probably around 42,000) and a good 8,000-10,000 of them were wearing orange and more than a few sitting in prime seats, indicating they picked these up from current BC season ticket holders. This is not something I can fact check, but I believe this was the largest visiting crowd I have ever seen at Alumni.
    • This definitely speaks to a level of fan apathy that has been building for years. The athletic department has done little to promote itself to locals outside of a TV or radio ad here or there and I constantly am asked by friends why they don't hear anything about the team in the media. Out of sight, out of mind and although this is not something one can directly attribute to Addazio, it is something that has only worsened under his leadership.
    • Home attendance figures per season. As noted in previous articles, the high water mark for the program occurred from 1993-95 when the Eagles sold out 15 consecutive home games at 44,500 per contest.
      • 2013 - 33,006
      • 2014 - 34,270
      • 2015 - 30,205
      • 2016 - 30,477 - through three home games.
Outside of these pretty much undisputed facts, there are the intangibles that are showing a program in decline.



  • The influx of quality coaches into the league.
    • Some have been here longer than others, but the league is as strong as it has ever been right now and between on field and recruiting success, coaches like Dabo Swinney, Jimbo Fisher, Bobby Petrino, Mark Richt, Bronco Mendenhall, David Cutcliffe, Larry Fedora, Dave Clawson and Justin Fuente have or are appearing to raise the bar at their respective institutions.
      • The Dabo mantra of "Best is the standard" means the Eagles have a long way to go to reach the level of the top three in the division.
  • The design of what the Eagles are trying to do offensively.
    • While I am not necessarily in the camp that the general concept of what a Steve Addazio designed offense is trying to do can't work, it is clear that what he is doing is not working. This is a product of several factors beyond just questionable design (teams like Michigan this year and Stanford and Michigan State up until this year, have been pretty successful with it), it is about how it is coached, executed and of course the players who are executing it. Is Scot Loeffler the answer to that? Well if you watched BC-Virginia Tech and listened to the in game interview with former Hokie Head Coach Frank Beamer, you would think not. Beamer never once mentioned Loeffler's name during the interview despite him being on last year's VT staff with him while continually praising his long time D-coordinator, Bud Foster. I would count Beamer among those who felt he made a mistake hiring Loeffler.
      • Then there are the numbers, which although they showed a marginal increase from the end of the Spaz days, are now back to or exceeding the level of futility and even at their high points are not where this program can survive, even with a defense that ranked as highly as it has the past few seasons.
        • 2012 (Spaz last year) - #104 total offense, #110 offensive efficiency, #112 scoring offense
        • 2013 - #84 total offense, #48 offensive efficiency, #65 scoring offense
        • 2014 - #77 total offense, #32 offensive efficiency, #86 scoring offense
        • 2015 - #126 total offense, #123 offensive efficiency, #127 scoring offense
        • 2016 (6 games to date) - #104 total offense, #109 offensive efficiency, #123 scoring offense
 
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