We can use this thread as our homepage for all things Vegas related. Post any podcasts, tips, articles, picks, or reasoning here and hopefully we can all make a little $ together.
I have made one pick for the Divisional Round. Rams on the Moneyline +125. Tampa's tackle and center got hurt last week. They could still play but certainly won't be 100%. Not good when you are going against Aaron Donald. With the line banged up and Tom without AB/Godwin I just don't think they have enough on offense to beat them. The way you beat TB is throwing and this is a great spot for Stafford and his wrs, especially the revitalized corpse of OBJ. Stafford already carved them up once too. Lastly, I loved the way Cam Akers changed the makeup of the offense. He gives them something Sony can't, which is a threat in space out of the backfield.
I will also chart my picks W-L here. It will force me to be selective on my posts.
I am most active on NBA player props but those happen so quickly with lineups being announced and players sitting with covid or injuries that it will be hard to post about it in real time. As soon as news pops I hit the props that exploit news before the books have a chance to adjust. For example when Marcus Smart was ruled out the other day it boosts guy like Schroder from 25-28 mins a game to 35. His prop lines for pts/rebs/assists/etc are all based on the 25-28 min game. So when guys are ruled in last minute I usually exploit unders on guys who will be hurt by the info and when a guy is ruled out i bet overs on the guys who benefit with the biggest minutes boost and usage boost.
I have made one pick for the Divisional Round. Rams on the Moneyline +125. Tampa's tackle and center got hurt last week. They could still play but certainly won't be 100%. Not good when you are going against Aaron Donald. With the line banged up and Tom without AB/Godwin I just don't think they have enough on offense to beat them. The way you beat TB is throwing and this is a great spot for Stafford and his wrs, especially the revitalized corpse of OBJ. Stafford already carved them up once too. Lastly, I loved the way Cam Akers changed the makeup of the offense. He gives them something Sony can't, which is a threat in space out of the backfield.
I will also chart my picks W-L here. It will force me to be selective on my posts.
I am most active on NBA player props but those happen so quickly with lineups being announced and players sitting with covid or injuries that it will be hard to post about it in real time. As soon as news pops I hit the props that exploit news before the books have a chance to adjust. For example when Marcus Smart was ruled out the other day it boosts guy like Schroder from 25-28 mins a game to 35. His prop lines for pts/rebs/assists/etc are all based on the 25-28 min game. So when guys are ruled in last minute I usually exploit unders on guys who will be hurt by the info and when a guy is ruled out i bet overs on the guys who benefit with the biggest minutes boost and usage boost.
