BC lost five games by three points or less last year. I am expecting the defense to take a minor step back but a significant improvement from the offense with an experienced QB, the return of Hilliman, a deeper offensive line and more depth at TE. For recruiting, the front end of the schedule is not bad. If we can get by GT, we have a fighter's chance to be 5-0 going into the Clemson game. Even 4-1 would not be bad.
I am going to the GT game in Ireland and this will be critical for the entire year and recruiting. Having said all of that, I am projecting a 6.68 win season. I have included my win percentage probability for each game on the schedule below.
Date Opponent Win % Prob Adj.
Sat, Sept 3 GT 50% 0.5
Sat, Sept 10 UMass 95% 1.45
Sat, Sept 17 Virginia Tech 50% 1.95
Sat, Sept 24 Wagner 99% 2.94
Sat, Oct 1 Buffalo 99% 3.93
Fri, Oct 7 Clemson 15% 4.08
Sat, Oct 22 Syracuse 50% 4.58
Sat, Oct 29 NC State 40% 4.98
Sat, Nov 5 Louisville 25% 5.23
Fri, Nov 11 Florida State 15% 5.38
Sat, Nov 19 UConn 75% 6.13
Sat, Nov 26 Wake Forest 55% 6.68
I am going to the GT game in Ireland and this will be critical for the entire year and recruiting. Having said all of that, I am projecting a 6.68 win season. I have included my win percentage probability for each game on the schedule below.
Date Opponent Win % Prob Adj.
Sat, Sept 3 GT 50% 0.5
Sat, Sept 10 UMass 95% 1.45
Sat, Sept 17 Virginia Tech 50% 1.95
Sat, Sept 24 Wagner 99% 2.94
Sat, Oct 1 Buffalo 99% 3.93
Fri, Oct 7 Clemson 15% 4.08
Sat, Oct 22 Syracuse 50% 4.58
Sat, Oct 29 NC State 40% 4.98
Sat, Nov 5 Louisville 25% 5.23
Fri, Nov 11 Florida State 15% 5.38
Sat, Nov 19 UConn 75% 6.13
Sat, Nov 26 Wake Forest 55% 6.68
